PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DonDiablo

0xbeafdb4a3fbcc95a980e55a0a56c122b1bb88981

Realised P&L
$-464.17
Volume
$62.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? · Yes0.1100.028$1.18$3.46
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes0.0400.002$0.60$15.40
North Korea missile launch by February 28? · No0.2900.000$0.00$5.67
Will Trump say "Greenland" during NewsNation interview? · No0.0500.000$0.00$0.26
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$95.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$55.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$50.00
Will Tesla say "China" during earnings call? · No0.0400.000$0.00$3.29
Will T1 qualify to Masters Santiago 2026? · No0.0200.000$0.00$0.06
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Christopher Haworth win the 2026 PPA: Indoor National Championships (Men's Singles) tournament? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$18.00
Will Tesla say "Robotaxi" during earnings call? · No0.0500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.27
Will there be less than 6 inches of snow in NYC in January? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$12.16
Will Tesla say "Full Self-Driving" or "FSD" during earnings call? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-23 16:47Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?SELL0.003$1.20
01-21 16:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.11$55.00
01-21 16:12Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$1.14
01-21 16:11Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$50.00
01-21 16:11Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1$50.00
01-19 20:55Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?SELL0.3630598892$177.56
01-19 11:10Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.068$95.20
01-18 17:54New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? SELL0.013$2.22
01-18 17:51LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)SELL0.01$0.20
01-18 17:39LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)BUY0.26$5.20
01-15 19:44Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.72$144.00
01-15 18:51Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.74$21.84