DonDiablo
0xbeafdb4a3fbcc95a980e55a0a56c122b1bb88981
- Realised P&L
- $-464.17
- Volume
- $62.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.19at 0.014New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
- +$-4.00at 0.740Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$-5.00at 0.260LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)
- +$-10.80at 0.030Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$-43.63at 0.450Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 16:47 | Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 01-21 16:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 01-21 16:12 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061 | $1.14 |
| 01-21 16:11 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 01-21 16:11 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 01-19 20:55 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? | SELL | 0.3630598892 | $177.56 |
| 01-19 11:10 | Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.068 | $95.20 |
| 01-18 17:54 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $2.22 |
| 01-18 17:51 | LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 01-18 17:39 | LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 01-15 19:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $144.00 |
| 01-15 18:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $21.84 |