Zwrr5
0xbeaaf089ada0db2ed5d0e6f6b75db58375f6fbb4
- Realised P&L
- $-72.19
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.987 | $1.11 | +$0.05 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.754Todd Boehly removed as Chelsea Chairman?
- +$0.90at 0.690Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?
- +$0.75at 0.800World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankees
- +$0.47at 0.680Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
- +$0.33at 0.750Will Jill Biden speak at the DNC?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 06:57 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $329.67 |
| 06-26 08:25 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $330.00 |
| 03-26 05:15 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $131.04 |
| 03-23 08:24 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $130.00 |
| 03-23 08:24 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $128.70 |
| 03-23 08:24 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $130.00 |
| 01-29 06:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-29 06:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.16 |
| 01-29 06:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 11-24 06:16 | Valorant: MIBR Female vs Ninetails (BO3) | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 11-15 06:41 | Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 06:51 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:57 | Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:57 | Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.77 |
| 09-19 07:57 | Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |