fiftyfifty
0xbe94ce037ae85acb9d7846730a20a25f2b5fda00
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $12.06M
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.3kat 0.031Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$3.2kat 0.001Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.3kat 0.001Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.2kat 0.024Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$455.98at 0.190Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 20:45 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.056 | $307.72 |
| 06-23 13:28 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.054 | $58.74 |
| 06-17 21:18 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.051 | $76.19 |
| 09-09 20:14 | Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.72 |
| 09-09 19:56 | Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | SELL | 0.999 | $886.61 |
| 09-09 19:40 | Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.42 |
| 09-09 19:38 | Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 06-03 19:31 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 06-03 19:29 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 05-12 13:50 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 05-12 13:48 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.42 | $630.00 |
| 11-04 22:56 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | SELL | 0.718 | $0.37 |
| 11-04 22:46 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.407 | $28.81 |
| 11-04 22:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.404 | $428.21 |
| 11-04 22:37 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | SELL | 0.7164717915 | $7.1k |