PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yitdfkd

0xbe8d9cae900cc2ffbf916d33d802314be05c1d1d

Realised P&L
$-21.41
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9900.976$1.00$0.01
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.395$0.43$0.57
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
Will AEK win on 2025-11-06? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 07:35Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.9852974181$59.53
06-18 04:58Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.993$60.00
04-27 10:41Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.997$134.00
04-27 10:40Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.99$99.89
04-27 10:40Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.987$90.62
04-25 07:57Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.997$134.00
04-25 07:46Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.99$90.00
04-25 07:46Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.988$88.92
04-25 07:46Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.99$90.00
04-25 07:45Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.991$100.00
04-07 06:33Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.997$290.29
04-07 06:32Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.993$111.77
04-07 06:32Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.997$69.91
04-06 13:55Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.998$290.00
04-06 13:55Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.997$290.13