PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mapletreee

0xbe876bed3db62b829b60cdccf0fec31dfae1fa14

Realised P&L
$434.74
Volume
$43.9k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$55.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.034$10.70+$0.70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0270.028$10.19+$0.19
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? · Yes0.0290.026$9.13−$0.87
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.1700.135$7.94−$2.06
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.016$7.52−$2.48
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.022$5.83−$4.17
Surigae makes landfall in Japan? · Yes0.0220.009$3.86−$6.14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$30.00
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.1360.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4180.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$200.00
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 31? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$20.00
Grizzlies vs. Kings · Kings0.0700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 09:16Surigae makes landfall in Japan?BUY0.0220063319$10.00
10-02 09:15Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?BUY0.0290410392$10.00
10-02 09:14Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0313056799$10.00
10-02 09:14Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0377285478$10.00
10-02 09:14Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0212706927$10.00
10-02 09:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.027$10.00
10-02 09:10Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-02 09:10Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.0359365246$10.00
07-19 19:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4179999989$100.00
07-10 19:52Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1557494057$902.89
06-21 18:08Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
06-21 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
06-21 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.32$5.00
06-21 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.3299999591$5.00
06-21 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.001$5.00