clarkmiranda
0xbe6873d192d28cb48b88f93f3bad10583122d5c9
- Realised P&L
- $-41.52
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $43.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September? · No | 0.730 | 0.730 | $29.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.680 | $14.11 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.60at 0.301Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$0.50at 0.967Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
- +$0.27at 0.976Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$0.21at 0.973South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?
- +$0.19at 0.959Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:44 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.28 |
| 01-30 16:22 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.26 |
| 01-30 14:40 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.03 |
| 01-30 12:07 | Will Chainlink hit $23 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.57 |
| 01-30 12:06 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.41 |
| 12-30 11:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.45 |
| 12-30 11:31 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.13 |
| 12-30 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999861 | $25.62 |
| 12-30 09:29 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.97 |
| 12-29 19:46 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.78 |
| 12-29 18:42 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999988 | $39.41 |
| 10-30 21:40 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $33.03 |
| 10-30 20:34 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.95 |
| 10-30 18:13 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | BUY | 0.9989999958 | $34.82 |
| 09-29 14:46 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.21 |