PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

clarkmiranda

0xbe6873d192d28cb48b88f93f3bad10583122d5c9

Realised P&L
$-41.52
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$43.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September? · No0.7300.730$29.20+$0.00
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? · Yes0.7000.680$14.11−$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:44Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?BUY0.999$16.28
01-30 16:22Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$19.26
01-30 14:40Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.999$12.03
01-30 12:07Will Chainlink hit $23 in January?BUY0.999$19.57
01-30 12:06Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January?BUY0.999$55.41
12-30 11:42Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.999$4.45
12-30 11:31Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$13.13
12-30 10:07Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999861$25.62
12-30 09:29Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$15.97
12-29 19:46Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.997$23.78
12-29 18:42Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999988$39.41
10-30 21:40Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.995$33.03
10-30 20:34Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$37.95
10-30 18:13Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?BUY0.9989999958$34.82
09-29 14:46Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$14.21