0xbe600c6419aa667e6addf10a28e4e442645a5193
0xbe600c6419aa667e6addf10a28e4e442645a5193
- Realised P&L
- $88.76
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $40.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Warriors | 0.410 | 0.465 | $21.59 | +$2.55 |
| Pacers vs. Thunder · Pacers | 0.280 | 0.275 | $18.78 | −$0.34 |
| Jets vs. Lions · Jets | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.91 |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos · Jaguars | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.23 |
| Cardinals vs. 49ers · Cardinals | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.69 |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa · Iowa | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.74 |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 24.5 · Under | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.04 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.70 |
| Dolphins vs. 49ers · Dolphins | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.30 |
| Alabama vs. Mississippi State · Mississippi State | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.65 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.03 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 27? · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.63 |
| Browns vs. Jets · Browns | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.01 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.44 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.97at 0.29076ers vs. Nets
- +$46.84at 0.320Vikings vs. Bears
- +$36.80at 0.114WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 26?
- +$33.67at 0.397Bills vs. Rams
- +$30.39at 0.39749ers vs. Seahawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:50 | Pacers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2799999971 | $19.12 |
| 10-13 17:50 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.4099999946 | $19.04 |
| 10-12 16:54 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $21.78 |
| 10-11 19:04 | Lions vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.3099999961 | $15.71 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.5599999936 | $31.65 |
| 10-11 15:48 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | SELL | 0.46 | $38.48 |
| 10-11 10:08 | Browns vs. Jets | BUY | 0.44 | $10.01 |
| 10-11 10:08 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $19.24 |
| 10-11 10:06 | Colts vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.4199999979 | $20.06 |
| 10-11 10:03 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $19.05 |
| 10-11 09:45 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.3899999954 | $19.66 |
| 10-08 20:29 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.42 | $19.74 |
| 10-08 19:19 | 76ers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.2799999995 | $20.89 |
| 10-07 20:55 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5 | $11.09 |
| 10-07 20:54 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4199999907 | $10.89 |