Paramoar
0xbe5d7f14f7acc4de0f7bc625345325b012c71532
- Realised P&L
- $-948.87
- Volume
- $59.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $12.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.040 | $12.89 | −$83.03 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.46 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · No | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in April? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.97at 0.072Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$123.30at 0.730Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$18.91at 0.367Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
- +$8.35at 0.204US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?
- +$2.46at 0.002Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 05:28 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2976582531 | $95.92 |
| 04-19 21:04 | Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | BUY | 0.1099999977 | $34.87 |
| 04-19 21:01 | Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0456721009 | $30.46 |
| 12-26 01:59 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 12-26 01:59 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 12-26 01:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.29 |
| 12-26 01:47 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.0051882571 | $0.64 |
| 12-26 01:47 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.97 |
| 12-26 01:47 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | SELL | 0.0016512532 | $3.08 |
| 12-26 01:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $4.03 |
| 12-26 01:46 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.3470203065 | $20.00 |
| 12-26 01:44 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 12-08 01:22 | Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | BUY | 0.3074945043 | $100.00 |
| 12-07 21:25 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025? | BUY | 0.0357468153 | $20.00 |
| 12-07 21:24 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.1001039357 | $101.13 |