PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Paramoar

0xbe5d7f14f7acc4de0f7bc625345325b012c71532

Realised P&L
$-948.87
Volume
$59.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$12.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.040$12.89−$83.03
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$40.00
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00−$19.80
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$30.46
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · No0.3070.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Solana dip to $70 in April? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$40.00
Clavicular charged by Jan 31? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$40.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$219.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 05:28Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2976582531$95.92
04-19 21:04Will Solana dip to $70 in April?BUY0.1099999977$34.87
04-19 21:01Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0456721009$30.46
12-26 01:59Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
12-26 01:59Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
12-26 01:47Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?SELL0.002$0.29
12-26 01:47Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?SELL0.0051882571$0.64
12-26 01:47Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?SELL0.002$1.97
12-26 01:47Iran Nuke in 2025?SELL0.0016512532$3.08
12-26 01:47Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.002$4.03
12-26 01:46Clavicular charged by Jan 31?BUY0.3470203065$20.00
12-26 01:44Clavicular charged by Jan 31?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
12-08 01:22Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?BUY0.3074945043$100.00
12-07 21:25Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $325–350 in 2025?BUY0.0357468153$20.00
12-07 21:24Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.1001039357$101.13