0xbe524f6bf4d13bda63b8d2591fbba60a6fff14b4
0xbe524f6bf4d13bda63b8d2591fbba60a6fff14b4
- Realised P&L
- $8.61
- Volume
- $201.31
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $86.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cina vs. Muller: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.485 | $20.37 | −$0.63 |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.500 | 0.685 | $18.77 | +$5.07 |
| Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Martin Damm (+1.5) · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.500 | 0.465 | $18.24 | −$1.37 |
| Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 57.5 · Over | 0.502 | 0.520 | $15.35 | +$0.54 |
| Spread: Georgia (-13.5) · Oklahoma | 0.500 | 0.495 | $14.07 | −$0.14 |
| Spread: Liberty (-3.5) · Coastal Carolina | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.66 |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 45.5 · Under | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.10 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.56 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.91at 0.500Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
- +$18.87at 0.500Blackhawks vs. Blues
- +$15.10at 0.500Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$6.10at 0.622Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 01:12 | Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins | SELL | 0.89 | $34.90 |
| 09-25 22:53 | Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-25 17:59 | Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik | BUY | 0.6099999826 | $9.84 |
| 09-25 13:07 | Stars vs. Wild | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-25 03:26 | Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $16.10 |
| 09-25 01:02 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx | SELL | 0.969 | $51.64 |
| 09-24 23:02 | Spread: Liberty (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5799999953 | $19.66 |