francow-565
0xbe50d8415937a45a5a4b8be968a362a7d72c7f01
- Realised P&L
- $27.98
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $4.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · 100 Thieves | 0.620 | 0.625 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex | 0.640 | 0.645 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · 100 Thieves | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.430Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$6.63at 0.190Mariners vs. Blue Jays
- +$5.34at 0.487Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
- +$5.10at 0.286Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$3.93at 0.470Mariners vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:40 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 16:40 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 20:12 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 20:12 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 13:24 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:22 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | SELL | 0.2310416667 | $11.09 |
| 10-07 13:21 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.01 | $0.48 |
| 10-07 13:08 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | SELL | 0.87 | $5.55 |
| 10-06 19:29 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 19:18 | Call of Duty: Team Heretics vs OpTic Gaming (BO9) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 18:17 | Call of Duty: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.2585005403 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:15 | Call of Duty: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 17:32 | Call of Duty: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 17:25 | Call of Duty: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 16:47 | Call of Duty: OpTic Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |