0xBE50Bd0Cca57dF4ECCaBB7d4CCc413f825aA0bbd-1781281811360
0xbe50bd0cca57df4eccabb7d4ccc413f825aa0bbd
- Realised P&L
- $-48.76
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 334
- Open portfolio
- $6.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded334
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.21at 0.560Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?
- +$15.10at 0.099Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$13.46at 0.071Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$10.08at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$9.28at 0.647Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:36 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1489999866 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6529999864 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 13:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 13:39 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0205042256 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 07:33 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 05:43 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.152 | $1.42 |
| 10-30 05:29 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.106999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 05:28 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7219998859 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 05:27 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 05:26 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.62 |
| 10-30 05:25 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.19 |