PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbE4eAc1e977cFF2eCC7E0667f35d160fa974d0c6-1773956533353

0xbe4eac1e977cff2ecc7e0667f35d160fa974d0c6

Realised P&L
$-25.8k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
714
Open portfolio
$2.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded714
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2? · Yes0.1600.005$2.19−$67.81
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$400.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$50.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 1? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$25.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 14? · Up0.1120.000$0.00−$159.78
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 26? · No0.0470.000$0.00−$147.85
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 9? · No0.1340.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$120.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 28? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00−$109.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$70.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 1? · No0.1330.000$0.00−$338.59
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$8.94
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$21.14
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in June? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00−$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 13:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?BUY0.31$36.17
11-02 07:35Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2?BUY0.16$70.00
11-02 07:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?BUY0.0470959357$80.00
10-30 09:25Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 30?BUY0.019$5.21
10-30 09:25Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 30?BUY0.13$130.00
10-30 09:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?BUY0.0363409834$36.34
10-30 09:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?BUY0.3883166667$116.50
10-29 17:04Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?BUY0.0590772222$106.34
10-29 09:57Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?BUY0.0271497006$9.07
10-29 09:57Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?BUY0.0255$2.55
10-29 09:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?BUY0.0072916699$18.75
10-29 07:23Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?BUY0.12$26.94
10-28 23:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?BUY0.0230569858$27.51
10-28 22:54Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?BUY0.06$12.00
10-25 15:04Genoa CFC vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC O/U 0.5BUY0.5299999977$86.35