0xbE4eAc1e977cFF2eCC7E0667f35d160fa974d0c6-1773956533353
0xbe4eac1e977cff2ecc7e0667f35d160fa974d0c6
- Realised P&L
- $-25.8k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 714
- Open portfolio
- $2.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded714
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.092Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?
- +$2.4kat 0.176S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 5?
- +$2.2kat 0.094S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$1.9kat 0.300Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.165S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $36.17 |
| 11-02 07:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $70.00 |
| 11-02 07:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0470959357 | $80.00 |
| 10-30 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.21 |
| 10-30 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 10-30 09:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.0363409834 | $36.34 |
| 10-30 09:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.3883166667 | $116.50 |
| 10-29 17:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0590772222 | $106.34 |
| 10-29 09:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0271497006 | $9.07 |
| 10-29 09:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0255 | $2.55 |
| 10-29 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0072916699 | $18.75 |
| 10-29 07:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.12 | $26.94 |
| 10-28 23:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0230569858 | $27.51 |
| 10-28 22:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 10-25 15:04 | Genoa CFC vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $86.35 |