PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ab003317

0xbe3f1003bbd277a84243efdf1c223594c67a1fbb

Realised P&L
$-9.85
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
503
Open portfolio
$20.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded503
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 25? · Yes0.2800.340$4.52+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 26? · Yes0.2100.240$4.19+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27? · Yes0.4050.430$4.07+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? · Yes0.3000.285$3.55−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27? · Yes0.3500.295$3.17−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 26? · Yes0.3700.060$0.61−$3.16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$4.16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 28? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$6.40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$3.52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 9? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 12? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 22? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$3.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 23? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 18:27Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26?BUY0.299999992$3.74
09-25 17:36Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27?SELL0.4$6.69
09-25 11:15Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27?BUY0.2199999964$3.68
09-25 10:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?BUY0.3499999721$3.76
09-25 07:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27?BUY0.4047164792$3.83
09-25 04:33Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?SELL0.999$9.11
09-24 18:51Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 26?BUY0.2099999937$3.67
09-24 05:33Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 26?BUY0.3699999706$3.77
09-24 05:17Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?SELL0.8592592593$9.28
09-23 19:19Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.2402597403$3.70
09-23 18:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 25?BUY0.2799999849$3.72
09-23 05:04Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?BUY0.3845224352$3.51
09-22 16:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?BUY0.35$3.78
09-22 13:44Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?SELL0.42$6.09
09-22 08:30Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?SELL0.56$2.80