ab003317
0xbe3f1003bbd277a84243efdf1c223594c67a1fbb
- Realised P&L
- $-9.85
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 503
- Open portfolio
- $20.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded503
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.96at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 30?
- +$13.79at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 2?
- +$12.32at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?
- +$11.71at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 31?
- +$11.50at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.299999992 | $3.74 |
| 09-25 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.69 |
| 09-25 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2199999964 | $3.68 |
| 09-25 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.3499999721 | $3.76 |
| 09-25 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4047164792 | $3.83 |
| 09-25 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.11 |
| 09-24 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.2099999937 | $3.67 |
| 09-24 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3699999706 | $3.77 |
| 09-24 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.8592592593 | $9.28 |
| 09-23 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2402597403 | $3.70 |
| 09-23 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.2799999849 | $3.72 |
| 09-23 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.3845224352 | $3.51 |
| 09-22 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.78 |
| 09-22 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.42 | $6.09 |
| 09-22 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |