0xbe3F09f5bfCe8015dce46A8f615A22FA22066DD9-1768484987239
0xbe3f09f5bfce8015dce46a8f615a22fa22066dd9
- Realised P&L
- $-157.67
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $16.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,000 in October? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $14.92 | −$0.08 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.984 | 0.929 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.870 | 0.240 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.63 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 26? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.859 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 2?
- +$10.16at 0.831Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$9.06at 0.932Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$7.04at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:05 | Will BNB reach $1,000 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 10:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999946 | $40.63 |
| 09-19 10:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.51 | $43.44 |
| 09-11 22:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999967 | $58.77 |
| 08-28 02:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8209999843 | $49.42 |
| 08-19 16:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8589999999 | $140.81 |
| 08-08 00:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.86 | $141.90 |
| 08-01 07:43 | Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.85 |
| 08-01 07:43 | Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.94 |
| 08-01 07:43 | Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.955 | $0.96 |
| 08-01 07:43 | Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.94 |
| 08-01 07:43 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | SELL | 0.871 | $5.23 |
| 07-19 02:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9269999999 | $123.00 |
| 07-19 02:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.976 | $119.40 |
| 07-05 13:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.939999987 | $65.00 |