PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cotton

0xbe377bf044f62229b5e4d75ba4291871a2be1f29

Realised P&L
$-16.48
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$0.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.015$0.27$14.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-04 17:33Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999955$15.00
02-14 18:53Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?SELL0.993$37.92
02-09 20:31Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.995$38.00
09-07 09:06Will another country win the most medals in the 2024 Paralympics?BUY0.001$0.14
09-07 08:44Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?SELL0.998$96.90
09-07 08:43Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?BUY0.999$97.00
09-07 08:42Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?BUY0.002$0.12
09-07 08:42Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?SELL0.996$97.90
09-07 08:40Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?BUY0.997$98.00
09-07 08:39Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?SELL0.998$97.89
09-07 08:38Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?BUY0.001$0.13
09-07 08:36Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?BUY0.999$98.00
09-07 08:352024 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.997$97.90
09-07 08:33Will Brandon Aiyuk stay on the 49ers?BUY0.001$0.11
09-07 08:322024 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.998$98.00