Mas202
0xbe36449cc50ad7dc4f6edf7fd39079cc910332b0
- Realised P&L
- $80.26
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $93.20
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.536 | 0.800 | $67.20 | +$22.20 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.082 | 0.132 | $16.01 | +$6.01 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.502 | $9.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.52at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$21.60at 0.470Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$14.70at 0.412Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$13.55at 0.713Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$10.83at 0.480US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 22:22 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5029999929 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 22:20 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.5063291139 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 22:19 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-28 22:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.90 |
| 08-28 22:18 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.61 |
| 08-28 22:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.984 | $25.23 |
| 08-28 22:16 | Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.1837130551 | $12.37 |
| 08-28 22:15 | Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.863 | $14.62 |
| 08-28 22:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.968 | $42.09 |
| 08-21 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999587 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 08:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.67 |
| 08-21 08:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999632 | $4.78 |
| 08-21 08:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4599700996 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 16:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5647982829 | $14.00 |
| 08-20 16:31 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |