TheCristina
0xbe307c45b762b5ecaa50b5755b524cbafee10639
- Realised P&L
- $4.44
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $241.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD? · Yes | 0.779 | 0.888 | $241.61 | +$29.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$435.39at 0.325Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$135.47at 0.120Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$27.25at 0.092Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$-593.67at 0.227Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:25 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD? | BUY | 0.7789999992 | $211.83 |
| 09-30 13:36 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.3386752271 | $219.18 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1162758908 | $75.25 |
| 09-17 14:44 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1458069866 | $80.89 |
| 09-17 13:56 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.088484947 | $49.09 |
| 06-22 19:32 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0187334582 | $53.21 |
| 06-17 19:27 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.2201308298 | $625.29 |
| 05-10 14:44 | Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3299999983 | $104.41 |
| 05-05 13:18 | Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.32 | $105.13 |