HarliMomoiii7
0xbe2db5902f8f9d1566c490054fac4b7b0839cc7f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.15
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? · No | 0.760 | 1.000 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? · Yes | 0.950 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.143 | $0.34 | −$1.66 |
| Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Kaja Juvan · Juvan | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kondratavicius vs. Barbir · Barbir | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.02 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.09at 0.550Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?
- +$0.41at 0.720Will St. Louis Shock win the 2025 Major League Pickleball Finals?
- +$0.23at 0.930Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?
- +$0.22at 0.990Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.890Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 06:48 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $110.22 |
| 04-24 06:48 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $95.37 |
| 04-23 08:45 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999919 | $110.00 |
| 04-23 08:44 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $95.00 |
| 04-23 08:44 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $94.43 |
| 04-23 08:44 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $95.00 |
| 04-07 05:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $199.79 |
| 04-07 05:14 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.998 | $102.00 |
| 04-07 05:14 | Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $75.07 |
| 04-04 09:53 | Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.00 |
| 04-04 09:53 | Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $74.78 |
| 04-04 09:53 | Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.00 |
| 04-04 09:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $200.00 |
| 04-04 09:44 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.998 | $102.00 |
| 02-24 06:14 | Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.998 | $100.00 |