PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LLMarena

0xbe2a8bed1fed285bbb5a69713973c28e3c02f745

Realised P&L
$959.86
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$330.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar19.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4590.995$270.71+$145.71
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by December 31, 2026? · No0.5930.555$20.61$1.39
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · Yes0.3940.445$18.08+$2.08
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · Yes0.3910.335$13.88$2.32
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · Yes0.3920.185$7.55$8.45
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29) · No0.6910.000$0.00$122.00
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026? · Yes0.5790.000$0.00$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:05Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?BUY0.393908293$16.00
09-18 05:55Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?BUY0.3919996178$16.00
09-18 04:59Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5925570471$22.00
09-18 04:56Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?BUY0.3910341781$16.20
09-02 05:14Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4592020098$125.00
08-08 13:55Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?BUY0.75$329.49
07-01 06:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.7$101.50
07-01 06:06Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.9707328001$222.08
06-13 22:19Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.6556291383$150.00
05-24 01:49US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
05-24 01:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999989$120.00
05-24 01:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.74$157.44
04-27 14:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4699999985$100.00
03-22 15:08Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)BUY0.6908658474$122.00
03-09 15:56Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?BUY0.7777160382$143.04