sleepin
0xbe1d335845a1821ea8c20def8966929b294e244b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $696.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,006
- Open portfolio
- $774.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,006
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No | 0.978 | 0.985 | $680.63 | +$4.51 |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No | 0.989 | 0.980 | $65.65 | −$0.63 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.770 | 0.935 | $9.35 | +$1.65 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.850 | 0.895 | $8.95 | +$0.45 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.587 | $5.00 | −$3.42 |
| Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.895 | $4.47 | −$0.42 |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.050 | $0.09 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.750Clippers vs. Kings
- +$2.4kat 0.741Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15?
- +$1.8kat 0.750Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
- +$1.2kat 0.749Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
- +$1.0kat 0.745Lakers vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 15:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 07-07 10:49 | Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.98 | $96.77 |
| 07-07 10:48 | Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.971 | $81.17 |
| 07-07 10:46 | Will Luke Kennard play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 07-07 10:45 | Will Luke Kennard play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 07-07 10:45 | Will Luke Kennard play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.993 | $7.21 |
| 07-05 15:18 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 07-05 15:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0719999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 15:06 | Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.969 | $34.11 |
| 07-05 15:00 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 07-05 15:00 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.9789345336 | $598.13 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $8.99 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.988 | $18.86 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.991 | $8.80 |