sleepin
0xbe1d335845a1821ea8c20def8966929b294e244b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $696.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,006
- Open portfolio
- $808.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,006
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No | 0.978 | 0.988 | $682.71 | +$6.58 |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No | 0.989 | 0.941 | $63.07 | −$3.21 |
| Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.961 | $38.45 | +$2.44 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.770 | 0.925 | $9.25 | +$1.55 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.850 | 0.865 | $8.65 | +$0.15 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.416 | $3.54 | −$4.87 |
| Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.475 | $2.38 | −$2.52 |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.041 | $0.07 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$750.91at 0.017Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5
- +$183.27at 0.518Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
- +$105.60at 0.976Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$103.40at 0.957Chile Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Yannick Hanfmann
- +$92.16at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 15:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 07-07 10:49 | Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.98 | $96.77 |
| 07-07 10:48 | Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.971 | $81.17 |
| 07-07 10:46 | Will Luke Kennard play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 07-07 10:45 | Will Luke Kennard play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 07-07 10:45 | Will Luke Kennard play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.993 | $7.21 |
| 07-05 15:18 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 07-05 15:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0719999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 15:06 | Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.969 | $34.11 |
| 07-05 15:00 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 07-05 15:00 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.9789345336 | $598.13 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $8.99 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.988 | $18.86 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 07-05 14:58 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.991 | $8.80 |