PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Danchen

0xbe1a48f6bcac07aa67c25ffc9e36d7dcbf6d0f22

Realised P&L
$53.97
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$86.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · Yes0.0470.042$45.25$5.75
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0290.011$29.92$45.08
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0170.005$11.65$23.35
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$17.00
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$125.79
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$68.93
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.3200.000$0.00$163.13
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$206.47
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 19:37NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.0266983074$15.00
07-22 11:50Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.130999999$100.00
07-13 06:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.179000002$17.00
07-11 06:09Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.1543115942$106.47
07-11 06:08Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999974$20.00
06-14 09:30Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.016522189$35.00
06-14 09:29NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.069818006$36.00
06-14 09:23Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0288277792$75.00
05-21 19:09Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1679999992$146.97
05-20 20:00Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.32$163.13
04-17 10:50Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0060383133$19.99
11-13 21:14Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0361929939$105.81
03-07 11:38Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.0479860762$68.93