Danchen
0xbe1a48f6bcac07aa67c25ffc9e36d7dcbf6d0f22
- Realised P&L
- $53.97
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $86.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.042 | $45.25 | −$5.75 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.011 | $29.92 | −$45.08 |
| Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.005 | $11.65 | −$23.35 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.79 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.93 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.13 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$206.47 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$727.85at 0.168Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 19:37 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.0266983074 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 11:50 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.130999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 06:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179000002 | $17.00 |
| 07-11 06:09 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1543115942 | $106.47 |
| 07-11 06:08 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999974 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 09:30 | Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.016522189 | $35.00 |
| 06-14 09:29 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.069818006 | $36.00 |
| 06-14 09:23 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0288277792 | $75.00 |
| 05-21 19:09 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1679999992 | $146.97 |
| 05-20 20:00 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.32 | $163.13 |
| 04-17 10:50 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0060383133 | $19.99 |
| 11-13 21:14 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0361929939 | $105.81 |
| 03-07 11:38 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0479860762 | $68.93 |