FrostBite87
0xbe17348476bf32561b4b1058b782570c6349bb09
- Realised P&L
- $-5.97
- Volume
- $138.8k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $6.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No | 0.989 | 0.949 | $6.67 | −$0.28 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 24? · No | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.968Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?
- +$0.16at 0.940PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.14at 0.959Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
- +$0.11at 0.969Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will Meta (META) close above $660 on January 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 08:22 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? | BUY | 0.9891659669 | $6.95 |
| 09-11 08:22 | Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $7.29 |
| 08-04 08:49 | Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.970999948 | $7.30 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | SELL | 0.953 | $3.49 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.98 |
| 07-24 15:34 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.07 |
| 06-02 06:50 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589999913 | $3.51 |
| 05-20 06:17 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BUY | 0.991999759 | $3.49 |
| 05-13 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.79 |
| 05-13 09:43 | Will Trump deport 600-700k people? | SELL | 0.988 | $8.81 |
| 04-04 08:54 | Will Trump deport 600-700k people? | BUY | 0.9835192526 | $8.78 |
| 04-04 08:53 | Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.78 |
| 02-24 01:28 | Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.82 |
| 02-24 01:27 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $9.82 |
| 02-02 11:57 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999995 | $9.85 |