PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbe09ee1C40f3477cef07D56DDBaC607F58cc3a44-1769866142038

0xbe09ee1c40f3477cef07d56ddbac607f58cc3a44

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$286.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$20.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? · Yes0.0670.047$18.41$7.78
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? · Yes0.0430.018$2.14$2.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$105.79
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$49.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$10.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? · No0.0040.000$0.00$999.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.1910.000$0.00$20.00
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$7.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$31.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:59Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.0668468571$26.19
09-21 17:55Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.0431519697$5.00
07-10 21:53Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.060999945$1.00
07-10 21:53Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999982$30.00
06-20 09:00Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.1$5.00
06-20 08:59Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-20 08:59Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.0349999967$10.00
06-20 08:59Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.0410000002$10.00
06-20 08:57Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.08$7.00
06-20 08:56Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.08$5.00
02-06 15:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.1699999759$4.95
02-06 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5199999938$19.38
02-06 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.4299999298$2.91
02-06 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5$0.97
02-06 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5$0.97