0xbe09ee1C40f3477cef07D56DDBaC607F58cc3a44-1769866142038
0xbe09ee1c40f3477cef07d56ddbac607f58cc3a44
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $286.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $20.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.047 | $18.41 | −$7.78 |
| Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.018 | $2.14 | −$2.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.79 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Down | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.11at 0.776Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$1.32at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$-21.36at 0.834Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:59 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.0668468571 | $26.19 |
| 09-21 17:55 | Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.0431519697 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 21:53 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.060999945 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 21:53 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999982 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 09:00 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 08:59 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 08:59 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 08:59 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.0410000002 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 08:57 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.00 |
| 06-20 08:56 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 15:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $4.95 |
| 02-06 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $19.38 |
| 02-06 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $2.91 |
| 02-06 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |
| 02-06 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |