PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941

0xbe044d601fbe89c9e87eacfa57d813a31f783c60

Realised P&L
$-48.0k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
522
Open portfolio
$39.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded522
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6240.725$11.8k+$1.6k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$10.9k+$1.2k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8490.969$7.8k+$963.97
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.8260.820$5.3k$35.78
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8700.953$2.5k+$215.66
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6800.925$466.29+$123.50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.945$350.60+$168.81
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1600.011$45.18$643.35
Proph3T mindshare all time high by March 31? · No0.7900.000$0.00$43.45
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.7930.000$0.00$12.2k
Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$9.44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.5120.000$0.00$2.7k
Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31? · No0.7900.000$0.00$533.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$709.99
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No0.3260.000$0.00$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:45Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$636.67
04-27 18:07Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.55$2.2k
04-27 06:27Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.84$2.1k
04-15 00:45US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.659881231$944.52
04-07 10:10Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.64$1.40
04-07 10:10US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.998$10.0k
04-04 04:42Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5BUY0.98$4.89
04-03 06:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 3?BUY0.992$0.76
04-02 18:36Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.97$11.55
04-02 18:35Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.9954994058$110.97
03-31 07:57Set 1 Winner: Moriya vs MatsudaBUY0.597$27.76
03-30 20:40Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?BUY0.6411447512$64.80
03-30 20:38Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?BUY0.7165311776$426.78
03-30 20:11Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?BUY0.7289959093$117.62
03-30 19:52Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?BUY0.7923202016$42.44