CandyMoons
0xbdffef65572c497ddfcd01039615fcacf0ea963c
- Realised P&L
- $436.72
- Volume
- $51.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.040 | $1.2k | +$230.35 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$435.57 |
| Colts vs. Seahawks · Colts | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$325.00at 0.350Chiefs vs. Broncos
- +$48.89at 0.450Commanders vs. Giants
- +$36.92at 0.520Bills vs. Patriots
- +$36.67at 0.450Chargers vs. Cowboys
- +$35.54at 0.730Broncos vs. Chiefs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:09 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0344545036 | $18.73 |
| 09-16 16:57 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.033 | $81.62 |
| 09-16 16:56 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.032 | $339.23 |
| 09-15 18:54 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0307533082 | $272.68 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.028 | $65.90 |
| 01-14 13:36 | Bills vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.48 | $71.66 |
| 01-13 18:04 | Bills vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5099999888 | $17.71 |
| 01-13 18:00 | Bills vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5 | $25.84 |
| 01-13 17:58 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 01-12 02:13 | Chargers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 02:11 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0387724574 | $15.00 |
| 01-12 02:09 | Chargers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 01-12 02:08 | 49ers vs. Eagles | SELL | 0.999 | $33.30 |
| 01-11 00:22 | 49ers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 01-11 00:21 | Chargers vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |