fkgh10
0xbdf51420c279c53630bc4048897ae74671589400
- Realised P&L
- $14.94
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $39.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.960 | 0.982 | $39.23 | +$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.960Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?
- +$1.19at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.88at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.83at 0.971Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?
- +$0.78at 0.978Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.37 |
| 10-16 00:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.98 | $37.24 |
| 10-14 16:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9099999924 | $37.00 |
| 10-13 08:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.952 | $37.13 |
| 10-12 07:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.95 | $37.05 |
| 10-11 14:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.987 | $36.52 |
| 10-07 03:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.985 | $36.45 |
| 10-06 15:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9572649573 | $35.00 |
| 10-03 00:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.976 | $34.16 |
| 10-01 00:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.963 | $32.74 |
| 09-28 08:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $31.62 |
| 09-28 01:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $31.90 |
| 09-25 15:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.00 |
| 09-23 14:26 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $30.41 |
| 09-19 07:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.988 | $30.63 |