0xbDf4B914e0bF68b74Eb009fC0AeC3EB3aBAd6b54-1780275120425
0xbdf4b914e0bf68b74eb009fc0aec3eb3abad6b54
- Realised P&L
- $91.11
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $356.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.915 | $204.16 | +$27.89 |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.783 | 0.971 | $152.32 | +$29.49 |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance · South Africa | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.75at 0.759No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:29 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999991 | $176.27 |
| 08-06 19:29 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $178.26 |
| 06-28 21:38 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7829879729 | $122.83 |
| 06-28 20:54 | South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 01:02 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $133.83 |