0xbdf0834398e395d3cb67d1ce12b8851a45e84448
0xbdf0834398e395d3cb67d1ce12b8851a45e84448
- Realised P&L
- $2.65
- Volume
- $55.85
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $2.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September? · No | 0.390 | 0.505 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.185 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.13at 0.470US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.98at 0.510Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:06 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:48 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:51 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:28 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:25 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 05:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 08:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 01:25 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 01:25 | Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 00:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |