nojesu
0xbdef08e3adcf5411874c5c2a347bb010edc396a2
- Realised P&L
- $-21.23
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $745.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.884 | 0.861 | $745.14 | −$20.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.99at 0.954Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 06:44 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.849 | $6.21 |
| 04-02 06:43 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.869 | $34.76 |
| 04-02 06:43 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $19.12 |
| 02-07 22:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $470.32 |