FuzzyBallz
0xbdeef1767cb4ddc6dc7f2f744f3b4d5f996e0ffc
- Realised P&L
- $-55.80
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $12.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.240 | $5.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.295 | $4.25 | −$0.65 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.715 | $2.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.07 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.85 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.31at 0.015Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.33at 0.006Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.85at 0.026Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.86at 0.490Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 17:13 | Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? | BUY | 0.3399999931 | $4.90 |
| 10-19 17:13 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 17:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 22:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $45.09 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1929999842 | $9.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.27 | $9.71 |
| 07-10 16:14 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999903 | $23.84 |
| 07-10 16:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.178 | $25.49 |
| 07-08 17:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999974 | $53.73 |
| 07-07 18:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1789999917 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 12:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.326999983 | $8.48 |
| 07-01 12:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 12:16 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 12:15 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $10.80 |
| 07-01 12:15 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.40 |