PolyBot

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Traders

MarkLi10-1000

0xbde7a9fb9a852f98bf16904005730663113bfaf3

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$166.2k
Markets traded
983
Open portfolio
$627.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded983
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? · Yes0.5600.475$403.75−$72.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.3290.400$132.77+$23.49
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.7250.660$91.02−$8.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$37.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.8850.000$0.00−$60.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.2030.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.9400.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00−$10.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.5030.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.8200.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up0.8800.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.9260.000$0.00−$75.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00−$155.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 05:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSELL0.99$118.68
09-25 05:49Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSELL0.99$119.87
09-25 05:48Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.8258417673$100.00
09-25 05:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.8341608738$100.00
09-25 05:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.3287060378$64.68
09-25 05:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.56$222.88
09-25 05:36Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.7251314654$100.00
09-25 05:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.8$5.00
09-12 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-12 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-10 09:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.2399999923$5.00
09-09 10:13Dogecoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.1865671642$5.00
09-09 09:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.7699999877$5.00
09-09 09:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.7612004989$5.00
09-08 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.8$5.00