lopezjeff
0xbde5862c34c3d8c4b85eaea34bf2f20f54ad07be
- Realised P&L
- $0.40
- Volume
- $47.89
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.73 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.45 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.08 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.750Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
- +$0.11at 0.400US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.978Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.09 |
| 07-02 13:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $1.45 |
| 06-26 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.9929998023 | $1.07 |
| 05-16 20:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.73 |
| 04-23 17:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.997999246 | $1.26 |
| 03-02 09:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.94 |
| 02-23 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9779999898 | $1.72 |
| 02-20 06:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.75 |
| 02-12 10:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.78 |
| 02-10 10:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.57 |
| 01-19 18:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 20? | BUY | 0.9939997349 | $1.59 |
| 01-17 18:07 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.55 |
| 01-17 15:11 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.44 |
| 01-16 12:40 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.736 | $2.63 |
| 01-16 05:39 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.740999771 | $2.66 |