PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lopezjeff

0xbde5862c34c3d8c4b85eaea34bf2f20f54ad07be

Realised P&L
$0.40
Volume
$47.89
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$5.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? · No0.9981.000$1.73+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No0.9971.000$1.45+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No0.9951.000$1.09+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No0.9931.000$1.08+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:12Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28?BUY0.995$1.09
07-02 13:15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3?BUY0.9969999993$1.45
06-26 18:01Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27?BUY0.9929998023$1.07
05-16 20:56Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18?BUY0.998$1.73
04-23 17:20Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?BUY0.997999246$1.26
03-02 09:11Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?BUY0.999$1.94
02-23 05:50Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23?BUY0.9779999898$1.72
02-20 06:43Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?BUY0.994$1.75
02-12 10:00Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12?BUY0.999$1.78
02-10 10:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?BUY0.998$1.57
01-19 18:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 20?BUY0.9939997349$1.59
01-17 18:07US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.43$1.55
01-17 15:11US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.44
01-16 12:40Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.736$2.63
01-16 05:39Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.740999771$2.66