MrNicotine
0xbde216bc93d7ba9fcc169a0cadba44472abfd0e7
- Realised P&L
- $44.11
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $71.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.63at 0.158Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$6.19at 0.157Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$1.29at 0.452Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
- +$-0.08at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?
- +$-0.44at 0.376Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 21:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 21:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 21:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3799998758 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:52 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999953 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:50 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999953 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:50 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999953 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:49 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999953 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.7199998338 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:20 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.36 |
| 09-23 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:07 | San Diego 2: Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl | SELL | 0.62 | $0.33 |
| 09-23 20:06 | San Diego 2: Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl | BUY | 0.8199998738 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:06 | San Diego 2: Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl | BUY | 0.8899999658 | $1.04 |