PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MrNicotine

0xbde216bc93d7ba9fcc169a0cadba44472abfd0e7

Realised P&L
$44.11
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$71.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner · Conventus Stellarum0.6501.000$6.43+$2.25
Plovdiv 4: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Calvin Hemery · Calvin Hemery0.2201.000$4.73+$3.69
Maple Leafs vs. Senators · Senators0.5400.560$4.31+$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.5900.585$4.12$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? · Yes0.3750.365$4.05$0.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? · No0.2830.901$3.25+$2.23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 24? · No0.7520.585$3.24$0.92
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner · Team Lynx0.4900.380$3.23$0.93
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet · Kyrian Jacquet0.4201.000$2.48+$1.44
Ankara: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek · Deniz Dilek0.4901.000$2.12+$1.08
W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura · Kurumi Tamura0.4901.000$2.12+$1.08
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan · Alex Bolt0.6101.000$1.70+$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? · Yes0.0430.068$1.62+$0.58
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner · paiN0.6601.000$1.58+$0.54
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A · paiN0.7501.000$1.39+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 21:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.5899999546$1.04
09-23 21:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.5899999546$1.04
09-23 21:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.5899999546$1.04
09-23 21:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.5899999546$1.04
09-23 21:07Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.3799998758$1.04
09-23 20:52Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999953$1.04
09-23 20:50Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999953$1.04
09-23 20:50Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999953$1.04
09-23 20:49Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999953$1.04
09-23 20:36Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.7199998338$1.04
09-23 20:20Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$2.36
09-23 20:11Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.92$1.04
09-23 20:07San Diego 2: Henry Searle vs Liam DraxlSELL0.62$0.33
09-23 20:06San Diego 2: Henry Searle vs Liam DraxlBUY0.8199998738$1.04
09-23 20:06San Diego 2: Henry Searle vs Liam DraxlBUY0.8899999658$1.04