Egmp
0xbddd4ff7ef3fbd07f77b95aa87972bdc84de4887
- Realised P&L
- $171.53
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $942.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.051 | $495.83 | +$145.83 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.098 | $395.14 | +$99.78 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.075 | $51.52 | −$298.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$448.00at 0.360Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$-276.47at 0.450Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 16:58 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1039999745 | $3.33 |
| 04-02 16:56 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.036 | $350.00 |
| 04-02 16:41 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5095535689 | $350.00 |
| 01-07 22:59 | Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $276.47 |
| 01-07 22:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $252.00 |
| 01-04 21:02 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.073335488 | $183.34 |
| 01-04 20:58 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.07246196 | $108.69 |