PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Egmp

0xbddd4ff7ef3fbd07f77b95aa87972bdc84de4887

Realised P&L
$171.53
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$942.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0360.051$495.83+$145.83
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0730.098$395.14+$99.78
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5090.075$51.52−$298.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 16:58Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1039999745$3.33
04-02 16:56Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.036$350.00
04-02 16:41Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5095535689$350.00
01-07 22:59Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.45$276.47
01-07 22:49Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.36$252.00
01-04 21:02Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.073335488$183.34
01-04 20:58Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.07246196$108.69