0xbddc2a7690BF600E347d5eb4A9C28f9F24E55d4f-1774968947489
0xbddc2a7690bf600e347d5eb4a9c28f9f24e55d4f
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $402.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,201
- Open portfolio
- $792.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,201
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$813.76at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?
- +$703.52at 0.413Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 26?
- +$700.50at 0.192Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
- +$658.90at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?
- +$649.80at 0.524Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4296026168 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6538699682 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5499999979 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4996876952 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5894738928 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.6104127053 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.609999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5996252327 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5691462802 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.3394550265 | $115.48 |
| 09-15 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.6478136274 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5878865477 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.94 |