PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbddc2a7690BF600E347d5eb4A9C28f9F24E55d4f-1774968947489

0xbddc2a7690bf600e347d5eb4a9c28f9f24e55d4f

Realised P&L
$7.6k
Volume
$402.4k
Markets traded
1,201
Open portfolio
$792.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,201
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? · Yes0.6100.635$208.20+$8.20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? · Yes0.6100.655$85.84+$5.84
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.5500.585$85.09+$5.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? · Yes0.5000.520$83.25+$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.5890.605$82.11+$2.11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.4300.440$81.86+$1.86
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.6540.655$80.14+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.4300.410$76.35$3.65
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.7000.955$9.46+$2.53
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 17? · Yes0.5690.001$0.18$199.82
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 15? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00$80.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 15? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$80.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$80.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 12? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00$80.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 16? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$80.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:43Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.4296026168$80.00
09-17 05:42Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.6538699682$80.00
09-17 05:27Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.5499999979$80.00
09-17 02:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.4996876952$80.00
09-17 00:42Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.5894738928$80.00
09-17 00:41Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?BUY0.6104127053$80.00
09-16 18:41Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.4299999991$80.00
09-16 07:06Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17?BUY0.609999999$200.00
09-16 05:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 16?BUY0.5996252327$80.00
09-16 00:17Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.5691462802$200.00
09-15 15:19Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16?SELL0.3394550265$115.48
09-15 15:15Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15?BUY0.6478136274$80.00
09-15 10:29Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16?BUY0.5878865477$200.00
09-15 08:28Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?BUY0.5$80.00
09-15 05:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.7$6.94