0xbdcfcd3e16ea640063151ce17bf0c722485382bd
0xbdcfcd3e16ea640063151ce17bf0c722485382bd
- Realised P&L
- $-98.65
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $10.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Tropez: Grigor Dimitrov vs Edas Butvilas · Grigor Dimitrov | 0.690 | 0.675 | $8.64 | −$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.049 | $2.23 | −$2.77 |
| St. Tropez: David Goffin vs Mark Lajal · David Goffin | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.77at 0.157Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12PM ET
- +$36.50at 0.195Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$4.46at 0.625LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- +$3.30at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5AM ET
- +$2.79at 0.780Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:29 | St. Tropez: Grigor Dimitrov vs Edas Butvilas | BUY | 0.69 | $8.83 |
| 09-21 04:28 | St. Tropez: David Goffin vs Mark Lajal | BUY | 0.2399999891 | $3.53 |
| 09-20 08:39 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.609999995 | $7.25 |
| 09-20 08:37 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.24 | $10.02 |
| 04-02 22:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2299999807 | $7.99 |
| 04-02 22:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.33 | $7.18 |
| 03-30 14:37 | Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.29 |
| 03-30 14:36 | Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 03-30 07:54 | Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.42 |
| 03-28 12:30 | LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage | BUY | 0.4399999861 | $11.42 |
| 03-28 11:42 | Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.010690567 | $7.26 |
| 03-28 11:40 | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0046677478 | $1.02 |
| 03-28 11:40 | Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0111965128 | $3.13 |
| 03-22 16:21 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $9.29 |
| 03-22 16:20 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.67 |