0xbdc2c09f55eb0e9ff20d64c20ed9c49bbc240a7d
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.300 | 0.315 | $1.6k | +$75.00 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.285 | $528.01 | +$39.94 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.001 | $5.94 | −$173.98 |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.30at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$154.65at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$110.34at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$107.83at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$98.33at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:40 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2700653751 | $350.00 |
| 11-01 18:39 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.268 | $13.40 |
| 11-01 17:42 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.255 | $51.88 |
| 11-01 17:41 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2436 | $60.90 |
| 11-01 17:41 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.238 | $11.90 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.3 | $600.00 |
| 11-01 17:29 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 17:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $13.43 |
| 10-31 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1563599406 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | SELL | 0.8258071717 | $114.69 |
| 10-30 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 17:54 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.97 |