PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AdxinAdn

0xbdbddb765dc5b52d24b6ca1a67e08df84e6681c2

Realised P&L
$-626.64
Volume
$277.8k
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$34.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.4000.669$33.48+$13.47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0950.028$1.38$3.38
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.001$0.00$0.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.6500.000$0.00$38.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20? · No0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$180.00
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 9-11 memorial event? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$15.00
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$16.00
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5 · Over0.7000.000$0.00$42.00
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8PM ET · Up0.0320.000$0.00$59.99
Will PAS win by between 8-12% of the vote? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Will anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 10:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.4$2.00
08-21 09:43Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?SELL0.33$13.20
07-24 00:25Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsSELL0.999$3.57
07-23 23:11Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.84$3.00
07-23 23:10Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.016$0.32
07-23 23:10Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.11$2.20
07-22 12:09Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.015$0.30
07-18 22:32Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsSELL0.991$38.80
07-18 22:19France vs. England: France O/U 1.5SELL0.999$14.83
06-24 19:28Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.68$6.80
06-17 22:11England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5SELL0.999$24.98
06-17 21:34England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5BUY0.949$23.72
06-17 21:00Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.994$9.94
06-17 21:00Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.996$9.96
06-17 15:20Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.052$0.57