epsteinfiles
0xbdb80db723aa5218423d067035b5f5e4ea5c0000
- Realised P&L
- $-6.5k
- Volume
- $73.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes | 0.319 | 0.090 | $3.5k | −$8.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.518Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
- +$83.35at 0.949Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 11:34 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.32 | $10.9k |
| 04-13 11:44 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.3239389964 | $832.21 |
| 03-23 04:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? | BUY | 0.9494796654 | $1.6k |
| 03-07 17:20 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | SELL | 0.5728159244 | $3.4k |
| 03-06 20:28 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | SELL | 0.7 | $7.3k |
| 02-01 12:28 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.5834933122 | $3.5k |
| 01-31 18:43 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.45 | $278.15 |
| 01-31 18:41 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.4987562855 | $1.2k |
| 01-31 16:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | BUY | 0.4769372436 | $3.5k |