PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfdgr4

0xbdb7718642e41e644c704ea60eb5ed6610326636

Realised P&L
$6.72
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$6.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? · No0.9980.991$6.00−$0.04
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$23.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$22.50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$22.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 00:53Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13?BUY0.998$6.04
10-09 02:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 10?BUY0.998$11.56
10-06 14:51Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 7?BUY0.998$5.92
09-26 15:00Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 26.5BUY0.96$8.95
09-04 15:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6?BUY0.999$820.18
07-07 14:17Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.9450192771$7.84
07-02 13:42Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026?SELL0.986$8.87
07-02 13:39Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.987$19.74
06-26 16:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?BUY0.985$6.27
06-15 12:28Spread: Senegal (-2.5)SELL0.9865714286$20.72
06-15 12:27Spread: Senegal (-2.5)BUY0.994$24.55
06-09 12:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 10?BUY0.949$15.18
06-02 11:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on June 3?BUY0.992$18.85
05-14 01:40Will Meta (META) close above $580 on May 14?BUY0.9505846154$12.36
04-25 09:40Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on April 26?BUY0.992$11.63