dfdgr4
0xbdb7718642e41e644c704ea60eb5ed6610326636
- Realised P&L
- $6.72
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? · No | 0.998 | 0.991 | $6.00 | −$0.04 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.36at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7?
- +$21.34at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 31?
- +$20.70at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$6.50at 0.756Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5
- +$0.78at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:53 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.04 |
| 10-09 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.56 |
| 10-06 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.92 |
| 09-26 15:00 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $8.95 |
| 09-04 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $820.18 |
| 07-07 14:17 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.9450192771 | $7.84 |
| 07-02 13:42 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $8.87 |
| 07-02 13:39 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 06-26 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.985 | $6.27 |
| 06-15 12:28 | Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | SELL | 0.9865714286 | $20.72 |
| 06-15 12:27 | Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.994 | $24.55 |
| 06-09 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.949 | $15.18 |
| 06-02 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on June 3? | BUY | 0.992 | $18.85 |
| 05-14 01:40 | Will Meta (META) close above $580 on May 14? | BUY | 0.9505846154 | $12.36 |
| 04-25 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on April 26? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.63 |