LagKing
0xbda9780f9c11720e1a384f3f3b851dda4ff42dca
- Realised P&L
- $-110.09
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.115 | $2.29 | +$0.61 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5) · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.58 |
| Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5) · Çaykur Rizespor | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.54 |
| Spread: FCSB (-2.5) · FCSB | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.91at 0.790EC Juventude vs. Grêmio Novorizontino: O/U 3.5
- +$22.47at 0.934Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)
- +$16.45at 0.962Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)
- +$4.58at 0.052Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
- +$2.49at 0.940Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 03:30 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $423.44 |
| 08-12 02:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.961 | $423.80 |
| 07-20 08:32 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $13.31 |
| 07-20 06:31 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $234.06 |
| 06-29 11:43 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.936 | $456.77 |
| 06-04 08:27 | Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.932 | $316.88 |
| 05-18 07:35 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $8.35 |
| 05-18 07:33 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $5.93 |
| 05-18 07:33 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $2.97 |
| 05-18 07:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $5.93 |
| 05-18 07:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $8.93 |
| 05-18 07:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $7.91 |
| 05-18 07:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $8.93 |
| 05-18 07:31 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $10.55 |
| 05-18 07:31 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.055 | $5.96 |