Luk1980
0xbda79b1f0c55213c49d7d2e0979c7ca30271fc55
- Realised P&L
- $-965.84
- Volume
- $258.4k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $206.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.820Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$780.74at 0.301Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$419.74at 0.610Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
- +$229.14at 0.180Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$130.00at 0.357Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:45 | Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-08 16:55 | Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 09-08 16:54 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.76 | $225.65 |
| 07-14 19:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.205 | $307.50 |
| 07-14 19:55 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.205 | $98.11 |
| 07-14 19:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.21 | $420.00 |
| 07-14 19:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.239984297 | $458.48 |
| 07-14 19:30 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.24 | $313.03 |
| 07-06 20:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.166 | $282.20 |
| 07-06 15:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.144 | $241.92 |
| 07-01 07:18 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.327 | $1.2k |
| 06-27 16:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.23 | $424.80 |
| 06-27 16:10 | Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.07 |
| 06-27 16:10 | Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.054 | $3.28 |
| 06-27 16:10 | Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.67 |