Luckyfantom
0xbda56bf42beeb350d8e1669e1b85179e0298fa16
- Realised P&L
- $-534.67
- Volume
- $205.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,214
- Open portfolio
- $593.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,214
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.37at 0.810S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?
- +$109.17at 0.864S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 4?
- +$107.53at 0.358Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$95.63at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$83.29at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:39 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $22.32 |
| 09-17 19:42 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $16.19 |
| 09-17 15:34 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-17 15:25 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 18? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-17 14:01 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-17 12:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.01 |
| 09-17 12:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-17 11:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-17 11:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 09-17 10:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.57 |
| 09-17 10:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-17 07:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 09-17 07:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 17? | SELL | 0.79 | $12.64 |
| 09-17 06:50 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-17 06:48 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September? | SELL | 0.875 | $11.11 |