0xBD9e2a1dDC5F949EdD5a1168eC2fD75f783A6872-1760666073657
0xbd9e2a1ddc5f949edd5a1168ec2fd75f783a6872
- Realised P&L
- $-231.55
- Volume
- $74.3k
- Markets traded
- 432
- Open portfolio
- $5.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded432
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.96at 0.021Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$34.64at 0.028Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$33.39at 0.495Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
- +$30.78at 0.028Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
- +$28.41at 0.034Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 06:23 | Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 02:03 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.92 |
| 04-17 02:03 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.92 |
| 04-17 02:03 | Will Trump say "Win" or "Won" 3+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.0138144719 | $0.92 |
| 04-17 02:03 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.92 |
| 04-17 02:02 | Will "AWP" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.93 |
| 04-17 02:02 | Will "AWP" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.93 |
| 04-17 02:02 | Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.94 |
| 04-17 02:02 | Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.94 |
| 04-17 02:02 | Will "Telescope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.99 |
| 04-17 02:00 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.0273058585 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 02:00 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 01:59 | Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 01:59 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.0454787712 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 01:58 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.94 |