0xbd9b08efcAc71b185411Ac57f36505D4570aB6AA-1758791287407
0xbd9b08efcac71b185411ac57f36505d4570ab6aa
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $275.2k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $571.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.019 | $326.90 | −$66.25 |
| Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $174.90 | −$49.26 |
| Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.007 | $31.79 | −$13.22 |
| Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.003 | $31.70 | −$74.28 |
| Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $6.60 | −$4.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.44at 0.277Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$107.04at 0.029Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$81.45at 0.885Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$75.74at 0.786Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$69.90at 0.774Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 13:33 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.021 | $92.89 |
| 07-25 14:46 | Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.0014283748 | $0.55 |
| 07-20 19:45 | Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.68 | $88.40 |
| 07-20 19:44 | Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.67 | $167.49 |
| 07-17 04:24 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.023 | $23.72 |
| 07-09 11:51 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.01 | $35.00 |
| 07-08 05:10 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.009 | $21.78 |
| 07-04 10:00 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.03 |
| 07-03 10:28 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.028 | $6.44 |
| 07-02 13:34 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.013 | $22.94 |
| 07-02 12:27 | Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.026 | $22.16 |
| 07-02 04:29 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.012 | $4.86 |
| 07-01 21:59 | Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.027 | $18.62 |
| 07-01 21:58 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.027 | $16.51 |
| 07-01 21:58 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.014 | $17.31 |