sn-ow
0xbd9a44b4fa5038150095935a68c26c7099ec63e7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $48.4k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $11.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Cincinnati Reds | 0.520 | 0.905 | $2.0k | +$843.83 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.329 | 0.525 | $2.0k | +$737.97 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.603 | 0.575 | $1.6k | −$77.42 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.585 | 0.455 | $1.4k | −$412.67 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.748 | 0.795 | $937.29 | +$55.94 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals | 0.548 | 0.515 | $690.95 | −$43.77 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.433 | 0.740 | $680.47 | +$282.59 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.461 | 0.515 | $327.83 | +$34.31 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.516 | 1.000 | $296.95 | +$143.69 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.337 | 0.485 | $237.87 | +$72.41 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Miami Marlins | 0.492 | 0.545 | $218.32 | +$21.08 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves · Cincinnati Reds | 0.430 | 0.425 | $210.04 | −$2.29 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.117 | 0.205 | $185.54 | +$79.88 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.651 | 0.955 | $155.42 | +$49.53 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.812 | 0.995 | $129.11 | +$23.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$588.01at 0.612Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
- +$437.01at 0.763Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$397.96at 0.678Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
- +$385.90at 0.604Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
- +$304.28at 0.784Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:45 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:45 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.9461208772 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.7599999973 | $45.37 |
| 09-24 01:44 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.37 | $0.37 |