Gilbertsd
0xbd98715c865cc5439e1c7d077aa041f9c677bcfc
- Realised P&L
- $-136.01
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $16.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.495 | $16.34 | −$0.17 |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa · Paula Badosa | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.55 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.34 |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) · Bruno Silva | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.41 |
| Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-25? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.80 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.46 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$445.71at 0.500Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$430.77at 0.500Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
- +$417.26at 0.500Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$125.48at 0.500Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?
- +$119.30at 0.500Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:29 | Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $16.50 |
| 09-03 07:46 | Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $19.98 |
| 08-20 08:33 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $26.46 |
| 08-03 07:08 | Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $893.21 |
| 08-03 07:08 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 08-03 07:08 | Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 08-03 07:07 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $863.27 |
| 08-03 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.67 |
| 08-03 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $798.40 |
| 08-03 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $824.89 |
| 07-30 06:36 | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.36 | $22.32 |
| 07-28 10:56 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $859.13 |
| 07-28 10:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-28 10:56 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999999 | $860.00 |
| 07-28 10:55 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.84 |