rubinstainmail
0xbd95f57f9607eceefa5311ab6a1e68f2585d3ffb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $159.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,370
- Open portfolio
- $75.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,370
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.30at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$120.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1PM ET
- +$120.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10AM ET
- +$120.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3PM ET
- +$120.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 10-05 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 10-05 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-02 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 10-02 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 10-02 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 10-02 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 10-02 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.60 |
| 10-02 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $0.29 |
| 10-02 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $4.29 |
| 10-02 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 10-02 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $30.60 |