deanna54
0xbd95848f3ab9531428315eb635730a8d27a6287d
- Realised P&L
- $-68.57
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $42.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? · No | 0.680 | 0.550 | $23.05 | −$5.45 |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $19.28 | −$0.14 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No | 0.590 | 0.018 | $0.40 | −$12.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.77at 0.523Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
- +$0.34at 0.930Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.20at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.13at 0.991Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?
- +$0.10at 0.994Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:22 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.31 |
| 01-30 15:11 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.08 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9979999738 | $17.60 |
| 01-30 14:13 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999843 | $21.64 |
| 12-30 11:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999706 | $12.88 |
| 12-30 10:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.74 |
| 12-29 23:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999617 | $12.51 |
| 12-29 22:36 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.66 |
| 12-29 20:53 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.18 |
| 10-30 17:46 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9989999828 | $22.59 |
| 10-30 17:31 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9969999975 | $22.15 |
| 09-29 10:27 | TikTok removed from App Store by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.67 |
| 09-29 03:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.58 |
| 09-29 01:10 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $16.55 |
| 09-28 20:04 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.78 |