LonelyStar
0xbd95409c3010987efb49c7ed5a14c64be3f66b91
- Realised P&L
- $-531.61
- Volume
- $78.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,832
- Open portfolio
- $142.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,832
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.70at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$169.99at 0.150Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?
- +$160.00at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
- +$156.79at 0.119Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$140.00at 0.300Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 10-02 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 10-02 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.82 |
| 10-02 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.91 |
| 10-02 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.17 |
| 10-02 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |