PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LonelyStar

0xbd95409c3010987efb49c7ed5a14c64be3f66b91

Realised P&L
$-531.61
Volume
$78.8k
Markets traded
1,832
Open portfolio
$142.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,832
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3? · No0.0800.422$126.60+$102.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? · Yes0.1500.045$13.50−$31.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3? · Yes0.1500.009$2.85−$42.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 15:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?SELL0.001$0.30
10-02 13:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?BUY0.15$45.00
10-02 11:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-02 11:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-02 10:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSELL0.99$5.82
10-02 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-02 10:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-02 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-02 10:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-02 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.99$2.91
10-02 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.05$0.17
10-02 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-02 10:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-02 10:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-02 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.16$1.00